Prediction #10 — Pending

Gravitational Wave Tests

δΦ ∝ f6   |   a*(z) ∝ H(z)−1/7

Two testable predictions for space-based gravitational wave detectors: a phase correction and a redshift-dependent activation onset.

Prediction #10: GW Phase Modulation

During binary black hole inspiral, the STF scalar field produces a correction to the gravitational wave phase. The quadrupole-level STF phase shift scales as:

δΦ ∝ f6

This correction grows as f6 — a distinctive signature unlike standard GR post-Newtonian deviations. It is suppressed in the current LIGO/Virgo band by the small ratio (H0/ms)² ∼ 10−22, making it undetectable with current instruments. LISA’s lower frequency range and higher signal-to-noise ratios may bring it within reach.

Falsification level

In the paper’s four-level hierarchy, this is a Level 4 (Precision Refinement) test. Detection would constrain STF parameters; non-detection does not falsify the framework. This distinguishes it from the Level 3 predictions (r, Ω, a0) which are independently falsifiable.

Corollary: Redshift-Dependent Activation Onset

This follows directly from the same cosmological threshold that generates the f6 phase correction — not a separate prediction but an epoch-dependent consequence of Prediction #10.

The cosmological threshold condition 𝒟crit(z) ∝ H(z) predicts that the orbital separation at which the STF activates scales with redshift:

a*(z) = a*0 (H(z)/H0)−1/7

The exponent −1/7 is fixed by the Kretschner definition and Peters inspiral scaling (Appendix D.11). This produces a parameter-free prediction: the f6 waveform deviation onset shifts to higher GW frequencies at higher redshift (~8.6% at z = 1). The activated fraction of GW events should decrease with redshift.

ObservationConsequence
Onset frequency scales as H(z)−1/7Epoch-dependent threshold confirmed
No redshift dependence after time-dilation correctionThreshold model falsified (Lagrangian survives)
Wrong exponent observedCurvature-rate definition or inspiral scaling requires revision

Timeline

InstrumentStatusFrequency BandLaunch/Operation
LISAApproved0.1 mHz – 0.1 Hz~2035
Einstein TelescopeProposed3 Hz – 10 kHz~2035
LIGO A+Operational10 Hz – 5 kHzCurrent

What this test does

Detection of a f6 phase deviation in high-SNR LISA events would constrain the STF coupling. Non-detection places upper bounds on parameters but does not falsify the core framework.

Source: Section V and Appendix D.11, “A First-Principles Derivation of the Selective Transient Field.”
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17526550 (Paper 1)  ·  Full paper (HTML) →